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“The long-term consequences of this war were not fully considered,” an executive from an oilfield services firm was quoted as saying. “The disruption this will cause to energy markets and other macroeconomic measures will be significant. The unpredictable nature of the current administration makes business modelling near impossible.” Dallas Fed Survey
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Half of Every Tight Oil Barrel Produced In the U.S. Is Exported

Delaware Basin HZ well productivity based on BO per perforated foot declined 9% in one year in 2025, the biggest drop, ever. In the Texas part of the Delaware it was even worse; Eddy County is propping the big picture up for the moment...Lea County is already rolled over. Some degradation factors between parent and child wells in Lea County, from over drilling on too close a spacing, has already reached 40%.
Pressure depletion is well underway.
When C+C production begins to decline in the New Mexico part of the Permian HZ tight oil play that will be all she wrote for
United States growth in oil production.



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The materials provided on this site are for informational and educational purposes only and are not intended to provide tax, legal, or investment advice. I may make data related mistakes occasionally; if you use my opinions about oil reserves or shale well economics for financial purposes, to buy or sell stocks, your nuts. Don't do that. If I have used a photograph incorrectly it was for educational purposes and I have done my best of to give credit where credit is due. My stories are all true, slightly embellished, perhaps, but true; I don't change names to protect the guilty. I am as accurate as possible about history and historical facts; I work very hard at that.All rights are reserved, whatever that means. Don't blame me, I didn't do it.








